Global economic impact of periodontitis: 2050 forecast :- Medznat
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Is the rising burden of periodontitis outpacing access to care?

Periodontitis Periodontitis
Periodontitis Periodontitis

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Global periodontitis expenditure reaches US$168.1 billion in 2021 and could rise to US$500.6 billion by 2050 if periodontal care coverage expands to 80% of the population.

Periodontitis is creating a global economic dilemma: disease prevalence is rising, but healthcare spending may not keep pace. A global modelling study, published in "Journal of Periodontal Research", estimates that periodontitis accounted for US$168.1 billion in expenditure in 2021, while severe periodontitis prevalence is projected to escalate by 44.3% by 2050.

Dian Yi Chow and other researchers used a cohort-based gross-costing Monte Carlo model to explore expenditure on prevention, diagnosis, treatment, maintenance and rehabilitation across countries. The key findings were as follows:

  • 2021 global expenditure: US$168.1 billion.
  • Top 5 spenders: United States, China, Germany, Japan and France accounted for >two-thirds of global spending.
  • Current-utilisation scenario: Spending reaches only US$174.9 billion by 2050, despite a 44.3% rise in severe periodontitis prevalence.
  • Expanded-coverage scenario: If 80% of the population receives periodontal care by 2030, expenditure could reach US$500.6 billion by 2050.
  • Financing gap: Expanded coverage would require an estimated US$325.7 billion annually.
  • Per-capita spending: US$21.32 in 2021 could fall to US$18.36 by 2050 with current utilisation, but rise to US$52.56 with expanded coverage.

The findings expose a major periodontal-care gap: disease burden is projected to rise substantially, but maintaining current utilization would not generate sufficient spending growth to meet future needs. Conversely, attaining broad coverage would require a threefold rise in global periodontal expenditure. The findings emphasize the need to rethink periodontal prevention, treatment delivery, maintenance, rehabilitation, and healthcare financing to address the growing global burden more sustainably.

Source:

Journal of Periodontal Research

Article:

Economic Impact of Periodontitis: Global, Regional and National Estimates of Periodontal Expenditure, With Forecasts to 2050

Authors:

Dian Yi Chow et al.

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